Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.196843 0.226959 0.261435 0.304105 0.355891 0.417204 0.496039
2025-05-25 0.150586 0.188910 0.237823 0.306042 0.400714 0.530561 0.727814
2025-06-01 0.122520 0.163071 0.219018 0.304324 0.435790 0.639282 0.996985
2025-06-08 0.103162 0.143518 0.202587 0.299174 0.461253 0.739209 1.295950
2025-06-15 0.092396 0.133613 0.197192 0.307983 0.509365 0.891023 1.765080
2025-06-22 0.081247 0.121000 0.184841 0.301796 0.528551 0.995727 2.199020
2025-06-29 0.074008 0.113304 0.178868 0.304921 0.565421 1.149850 2.856550
2025-07-06 0.067026 0.104970 0.170317 0.301177 0.586914 1.278383 3.547985
2025-07-13 0.062558 0.100252 0.167303 0.307376 0.631607 1.483823 4.681314
2025-07-20 0.058861 0.096372 0.165154 0.314761 0.681328 1.728257 6.253726
2025-07-27 0.055542 0.092739 0.162887 0.321344 0.731302 2.002050 8.367138
2025-08-03 0.052848 0.089930 0.161791 0.330289 0.790748 2.344580 11.496520
2025-08-10 0.049814 0.086215 0.158509 0.333887 0.838191 2.684455 15.511963
2025-08-17 0.046904 0.082447 0.154649 0.335455 0.881129 3.044634 20.897834
2025-08-24 0.044014 0.078421 0.149720 0.333372 0.912418 3.384937 27.579029
2025-08-31 0.041153 0.074180 0.143795 0.327559 0.929745 3.679517 35.379664
2025-09-07 0.039670 0.072611 0.143641 0.337423 1.006818 4.366392 54.033204
2025-09-14 0.037224 0.068805 0.137902 0.330484 1.019273 4.705170 70.101127
2025-09-21 0.035641 0.066689 0.135874 0.333986 1.074894 5.389649 104.686777
2025-09-28 0.033748 0.063743 0.131533 0.329789 1.097887 5.889745 144.775553
2025-10-05 0.032616 0.062362 0.130839 0.336738 1.172996 6.908584 242.975531
2025-10-12 0.031625 0.061204 0.130559 0.345022 1.259275 8.194511 444.672678
2025-10-19 0.030649 0.059998 0.130018 0.352411 1.346230 9.692291 874.526322